There’s a 50 percent chance of chocolate donuts in the conference
room today. Before you start thinking of
whether or not they’ll be glazed or iced, I’m quite certain you’re not getting
a donut. Don’t despair. You never had a chance. This percentage is as flawed as the 50%
chance of showers predicted for today on the Channel 9 News at 11.
It’s Wednesday ride night. I put my bike in the back of my truck last
night and stuffed a backpack with my kit this morning. Seeing the forecast, my wife packed her cute
yoga pants for the gym. You may think I’m
an optimist and she’s a pessimist. While
that may hold some truth, it had nothing to do with our decisions. She equates getting rained on with torture. 50% rings the “you
may end up with runny make-up and snarled hair” alarm in her head. Besides the fact that my hair looks the same wet or dry and I can live with a wet butt crack for 2 hours, there are too many
variables in that 50% chance of rain to mean a whole lot. Remember the forecast didn’t say a 50% chance
of showers between 6pm and 7:45pm for the cities of Madeira and Batavia and all
points in between. The Channel 9 viewing
area covers 15-20 counties in the Cincinnati area.
Mmmm Donuts. |
See. Suddenly, I
appear to be the pessimist when in reality I’m a realist. I’m really not planning on getting a donut. However, if a donut appears in the company kitchen between
now and midnight, the Channel 9 Donutologist can say, "I told you there was a
chance of donuts." With a 50% chance of
showers, chances are it’s really not going to rain during the shop ride
tonight. However, I did pack Pearl Izumi shoe
covers. While it may not come from the sky,
I think the chance of getting my feet splashed on the ride tonight is 50/50. I hate wet feet. It's like torture to me.