This year the course is going to be a mess from the start.
|Early morning and still solid|
Refreeze you say? At 3pm?
The kicker of this is that the low temperature for Thurday night and Friday night is in the mid-30s - but it won't matter. The ground is so frozen a lot of the areas will freeze back up as soon as the sun is gone - that snow layer is protecting the ground from thawing.
But it gets better.
|Mid-day thaw - some water appearing|
But, wait, there is more.
More you say? Sure, there is also rain in the forecast. Mid-30s, a solid breeze at 15-20 mph, and rain. What will rain do to course already surrounding by a large amount of frozen water? Worst case scenario planning has the Lionheart coaches heading to the local bait-n-tackle shop for some 40 lb test line, a rod and reel suitable for a Marlin, and a quick refresher on big game fishing. With a lot of rain this place will be undoubtedly wet and definitely deeper in mud.
What will it be like during my race?
|Late day thaw with a stream of water|
My perspective is that the focus may not be on the surface, but rather the solid underlayer. The much that does exist is not deep, and the ground seems colder and more frozen than last year, so odds are that it will stay frozen longer. Target the base, get a tire that makes you feel good, lower the pressure as low are your eardrums can handle and go for it.
|Partial shade = half and half|
|Puddle of thaw beginning to refreeze|
|Apparently this is a sand pit|
|Black ice waiting to happen|