There’s a 50 percent chance of chocolate donuts in the conference room today. Before you start thinking of whether or not they’ll be glazed or iced, I’m quite certain you’re not getting a donut. Don’t despair. You never had a chance. This percentage is as flawed as the 50% chance of showers predicted for today on the Channel 9 News at 11.
It’s Wednesday ride night. I put my bike in the back of my truck last night and stuffed a backpack with my kit this morning. Seeing the forecast, my wife packed her cute yoga pants for the gym. You may think I’m an optimist and she’s a pessimist. While that may hold some truth, it had nothing to do with our decisions. She equates getting rained on with torture. 50% rings the “you may end up with runny make-up and snarled hair” alarm in her head. Besides the fact that my hair looks the same wet or dry and I can live with a wet butt crack for 2 hours, there are too many variables in that 50% chance of rain to mean a whole lot. Remember the forecast didn’t say a 50% chance of showers between 6pm and 7:45pm for the cities of Madeira and Batavia and all points in between. The Channel 9 viewing area covers 15-20 counties in the Cincinnati area.
See. Suddenly, I appear to be the pessimist when in reality I’m a realist. I’m really not planning on getting a donut. However, if a donut appears in the company kitchen between now and midnight, the Channel 9 Donutologist can say, "I told you there was a chance of donuts." With a 50% chance of showers, chances are it’s really not going to rain during the shop ride tonight. However, I did pack Pearl Izumi shoe covers. While it may not come from the sky, I think the chance of getting my feet splashed on the ride tonight is 50/50. I hate wet feet. It's like torture to me.